2025-2026 Quebec Budget
Written By
Sébastien Chamberland
The budget protects health services (3% increase) and education services (2.2% increase).
For a more resilient, efficient, and innovative economy. Real GDP growth is expected to remain modest in 2025 (1.1%) and accelerate slightly in 2026 (1.4%).
According to the Quebec Ministry of Finance, government revenues for 2025-2026 are estimated at $120.6 billion, representing a 3.7% increase from the previous year. For 2026-2027, revenues are expected to reach $125.0 billion, a growth of 3.6% from 2025-2026.
Growth planning
- Government expenditures in 2025-2026 and their growth: Total expenditures for 2025-2026 are estimated at $125.0 billion, a 3.6% increase from the previous year.
- Expenditure growth in 2026-2027: Total expenditures are expected to reach $129.5 billion, a 3.6% increase from 2025-2026.
- Payments to the Generations Fund: $4.6 billion in 2025-2026 and $5.0 billion in 2026-2027.
- Net debt as of March 31, 2025: Estimated at $236.6 billion, or 39.0% of GDP.
- Infrastructure investments in 2025-2026 under the 2024-2034 Quebec Infrastructure Plan: $142.5 billion over 10 years, with approximately $14.3 billion planned for 2025-2026.
- Nominal GDP in 2025: Expected to reach $625.0 billion, a 3.8% increase over 2024.
- Growth in real GDP, household consumption, and exports in 2025: Real GDP is expected to grow by 1.3%, household spending by 1.5%, and exports by 1.1%.
Trade tensions
In a climate of economic uncertainty driven by global trade tensions, the Quebec government acts as an economic stabilizer by:
- Supporting struggling businesses in the short term.
- Strengthening the economy through infrastructure and interprovincial cooperation.
- Focusing long-term on innovation and investment to enhance competitiveness.
Boosting infrastructure investments:
- QIP 2025-2035: Raised to $164 billion (up 7% or $11 billion).
- Hydro-Québec: $135-160 billion investment by 2035 (clean energy plan).
- Call for a new federal infrastructure plan.
Stimulating Quebec's economy:
Under Budget 2025-2026, $5.4 billion over five years, including:
- $4.1 billion to support and stimulate the economy: transitional aid for companies affected by U.S. tariffs, investment support, market diversification, and promotion of Quebec products.
- $604.1 million to increase innovation capacity: renewed tax support, modernization of public services, strategic sector innovation, and SME support.
- $759 million to support regional economic contributions: boosting regional economies, critical and strategic minerals, forest sector, tourism, and biofood development.
New Innovation Tax Regime:
- CRIC implementation (R&D, innovation, commercialization credit).
- Administrative simplification: merges 8 current tax measures.
- Additional support: $271.5 million over 5 years.
- Goal: improve productivity and business competitiveness.
- Overall tax reform: $2.97 billion over 5 years.
- Optimization: $604.1M targeting high-value IT and strategic resources.
- Simplification: $1.14B (tax rate standardization, flow-through shares).
- Modernization: $481.5M (phase-out of outdated tax measures). – Public service funding: $747.7M (health fund reform, etc.).
Hydro-Québec: $135-160B in clean energy investments (2024-2035).
Strategic sector innovation support: $194M over 5 years.
Includes AI, life sciences, quantum tech, microelectronics, sustainable finance, with major projects such as Technum Québec, Mila, and life sciences strategy renewal.
Digital Government Transformation Acceleration:
- Automation of state processes: $73.8M over 5 years.
- Tech governance reform: $6M over 3 years under the Ministry of Cybersecurity and Digital Affairs.
- Shared tech solutions: $15M over 2 years.
- Digital connectivity: $74.1M over 3 years (200 cell towers, improved rural coverage).
- Media digital transformation support: $7.4M over 3 years.
Specific 2025 measures for the biofood sector:
- Sustainable Agriculture Plan (PAD) 2020-2030: $20M in 2025-26 ($100M over 5 years).
- New Biofood Policy 2025-2035: $16.1M in 2025-26 ($60.3M over 5 years, over $1B including existing resources).
- Sustainable Growth Investment Program: $2M in 2025-26 ($42M over 5 years).
Green Economy Plan 2030:
- $10.2B from 2025 to 2030.
- Goals: 37.5% GHG reduction (vs. 1990), low-carbon transition, climate resilience.
Roulez vert program (rebates for EVs) relaunched April 1, 2025:
- $4,000 for new EVs, $2,000 for used, phased out by January 1, 2027.
Climate adaptation: $95.7M over 5 years.
- 2025 breakdown: $11.8M for disaster resilience, $4.4M for public dam safety, $1.0M for cyber/tech resilience.
Sustainable development and biodiversity: $332M over 5 years.
- 2025-26: $6.6M for environment/biodiversity, $5M for waste management, $3.9M for Indigenous wildlife co-management.
Long-term objective:
- Continue closing the economic gap with Ontario and the rest of Canada.
- Life quality gap with Ontario: 11.2% in 2024 to 9.9% in 2026.
- With rest of Canada: from 14.7% to 13.7%.
About
Sébastien
Sébastien Chamberland has worked in the business community for 25 years and has been active in municipal and provincial politics for more than 10 years. Within the Quebec provincial government (2019-24), Sébastien has established key relationships with several players in politics, business and high technologies (artificial intelligence).