2025 Canadian Federal Campaign Trail and Election Report

Pierre Poilievre is running a good but very frustrating campaign

Given the wild trajectory of federal politics since the start of the year, with the Liberals rising an eye-popping 25 percentage points in the polls, you’d think Pierre Poilievre was running a fault-filled campaign. Talk last week of internal disarray at his campaign HQ fuelled the perception.

But it is hardly the case. A bad campaign would have resulted in fading and falling support for the Conservatives. But the party’s high support numbers have barely changed since the months before the campaign began. They are still hovering in the 40-per-cent neighbourhood, which is often enough to form a majority government.

The problem isn’t any decline in their numbers. It’s the collapse in support for the NDP and Bloc Québécois, most of which is going to the Liberals.

On policy, the Poilievre campaign is having an effective roll-out. The platform is sufficiently conservative without scaring off voters for being overly hardline. It is attractive enough that several planks have been copied by the Mark Carney Liberals. These include the move away from the consumer carbon tax, a cut in capital-gains taxes and a middle-class tax cut.

Blunders can be expected in any campaign. The well-organized Conservative effort has been free of major foul-ups. A big test for any campaign is support on the ground. The Poilievre campaign is scoring in this respect as well, drawing huge enthusiastic crowds to many of its rallies.

But good campaigns don’t necessarily translate into winning campaigns. Variables that can’t be controlled intervene, and such was the case with Donald Trump’s 51st-state threats.

Much of the criticism has focused on Mr. Poilievre’s positioning with respect to Mr. Trump. But there was no great political play available to him on this score. His populist brand of conservatism obviously aligns more closely to Mr. Trump’s Republicans than the Liberals’ brand. Large numbers in his Conservative Party are supportive of Mr. Trump.

Mark Carney’s Liberals to make Canada the world’s leading energy superpower

President Trump’s tariffs are disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. His stance on Canada is even more direct and aggressive: he wants to weaken us so America can own us. Our response is to fight, protect, and build.

Canada’s economic strength is underpinned by Canadian energy. Our energy sector supports 700,000 jobs across the country, powering factories, warehouses, labs, and so much more at home and around the world. To weather the economic storm induced by President Trump, and build Canada strong, we must invest in our natural strengths and ensure our economic sovereignty.

“Canada has a tremendous opportunity to be the world’s leading energy superpower, in both clean and conventional energy,” said Mark Carney, Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada. “We are going to aggressively develop projects that are in the national interest in order to protect Canada’s energy security, diversify our trade, and enhance our long-term competitiveness – all while reducing emissions. We can lead the energy transition while ensuring affordable energy at home and building the strongest economy in the G7. ”

Today, Mark Carney announced the comprehensive Liberal approach to make Canada the world’s leading energy superpower. This approach will be defined by three objectives:

  • energy security;
  • trade diversification; and,
  • long-term competitiveness.


A Mark Carney-led Liberal government will:

  • Kickstart the clean energy supply chain by investing in critical minerals by:
    • connecting critical mineral projects to supply chains via a new First and Last Mile Fund (FLMF), creating a more integrated and accessible Canadian economy;
    • directly supporting clean energy and critical minerals projects via the FLMF, reducing our reliance on other countries and protecting Canadian jobs;
    • accelerating exploration, as well as extraction from recycling, by investing in prospecting activities; and,
    • attracting, expanding and de-risking investment in critical mineral exploration and extraction with additional investments in and expansion of existing tax credits.
  • Get clean energy projects built quickly across Canada by:
    • fast-tracking Projects of National Interest, which will be jointly identified with provinces and territories and Indigenous peoples;
    • incentivizing Projects of National Interest by keeping the federal government’s current suite of investment tax credits for clean energy, finalizing the tax credits under development, and reinforcing the Canada Growth Fund, including by supporting carbon contracts for difference;
    • signing Cooperation and Substitution Agreements with all willing provinces, territories, and Indigenous Governing Bodies within six months, ensuring that projects only go through one review that uphold environmental standards and Indigenous Consultation;
    • establishing a Major Federal Project Office with a new comprehensive mandate to move forward with One Project, One Review, issuing decisions on major projects within two years instead of five, while fully upholding environmental integrity and Indigenous rights;
    • developing a trade and energy corridor, along with provinces, territories, and Indigenous partners, for transport, energy, critical minerals and digital connectivity, including through the Trade Diversification Corridor Fund;
    • doubling the Indigenous Loan Guarantee Program from $5 to $10 billion and expanding it to support more Indigenous-led infrastructure, transportation and trade projects across the country. This will make it easier for more Indigenous communities to become owners of major resource projects;
    • increasing capacity funding for Indigenous communities to engage on projects early and consistently; and,
    • working with project proponents, provinces, territories, and Indigenous partners to do proactive remediation and rehabilitation work at project sites so projects move faster.
  • Secure Canada’s energy and electricity sovereignty by:
    • working with provinces and territories to build out an East-West electricity grid, in a historic nation-building project, to secure Canadians’ access to affordable, reliable, clean, Canadian electricity; and,
    • investing in Canada’s conventional and clean energy potential, so we can reduce our reliance on the United States and build trading relationships with reliable partners.

 

These measures will ensure efficient processes under the Impact Assessment Act, and will be focused on competitiveness of Canadian industry. We will work with the oil and gas sector to reduce their emissions in a cost effective and efficient manner; we cannot lose sight of our obligation to address climate change while ensuring the long-term competitiveness of Canada’s energy sector.

A Mark Carney-led government will stand strong against President Trump’s tariffs, create new jobs, cut taxes for the middle class, modernize our energy infrastructure, and build the cleanest, fastest growing economy in the G7. Liberals will build Canada strong.

Poilievre to Crack Down on Liberal Violent Crime Wave with ‘Three-Strikes-And-You’re-Out’ Law

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that he will end the Liberal wave of violent crime by passing a Three-Strikes-and-You’re-Out Law. This law will stop criminals convicted of three serious offences from getting bail, probation, parole or house arrest, and keep violent criminals behind bars longer to keep them away from their victims and off our streets.

Poilievre will make sure that three-time serious criminals get a minimum prison term of 10 years and up to a life sentence. They will also be designated as Dangerous Offenders, meaning they cannot be released until they prove they are no longer a danger. The only way for these repeat serious criminals to obtain their freedom will be through spotless behaviour and clean drug tests during a lengthy minimum prison sentence, with earned release dependent on improving themselves and their life opportunities, such as by learning a trade or upgrading their education.

“We will lock up the worst violent offenders longer and make sure they are not released as long as they pose a danger to our society,” said Poilievre. “Hug-a-thug, catch-and-release policies have destroyed our once-safe towns and cities. Only Conservatives will take violent crime seriously and do what it takes to get it under control.” 

As a result of the Lost Liberal Decade, violent crime has skyrocketed by 50 percent, while gun crime is up 116 percent. Gang homicides have soared by 78 percent, and extortion and auto theft are up 357 percent and 46 percent, respectively. We can’t afford a fourth Liberal term under a weak leader like Mark Carney, who won’t take the bold action necessary to stop the crime and chaos in our streets. 

This crime wave was no accident. The Liberals introduced radical catch-and-release policies like Bill C-5, which allows some of the worst offenders to serve their sentences at home, and Bill C-75, which lets rampant criminals go free within hours of their arrest. 

The result has been a disaster for Canadian communities. 

  • In Saskatchewan in 2022, Myles Sanderson went on a spree, killing 11 people and injuring 17 more. Sanderson was out on “statutory release” after 59 prior convictions for assault, robbery, mischief and uttering threats. FIFTY. NINE. CONVICTIONS. If he had been kept in jail where he belonged, those 11 precious Canadians would still be alive. 
  • Last year, investigators in Peel Region made 18 arrests in connection with a string of home invasions, armed robberies and carjackings, with over $1.2 million worth of stolen vehicles recovered. Of the 18, half were out on bail. 
  • In Vancouver, police had to arrest the same 40 offenders 6,000 times. And in 2022, 256 people were charged with homicide while out on release. 

 

“Not only will Common Sense Conservatives repeal the Liberal catch-and-release laws, we will carry out the biggest crackdown on crime in Canadian history,” said Pierre Poilievre. 

Mark Carney will keep Liberal soft-on-crime laws. As Justin Trudeau’s advisor, he supported the Liberal Party as they let crime run rampant in our streets. As Liberal leader, his first move was to appoint David Lametti–-the same minister who was responsible for Trudeau’s soft-on-crime laws–-as his senior advisor. And his hand-picked candidate in Victoria wants to “defund” and “disarm” the police.

Only a new Conservative government will stop the crime, lock up dangerous criminals, and give repeat violent offenders jail, not bail. Only Conservatives will bring home safe streets for law-abiding Canadians–For a Change. Only Conservatives will put Canada First–For a Change.

Green Party of Canada Unveils Bold Plan to Expand Universal Public Healthcare

The Green Party of Canada announced in Guelph a comprehensive plan to protect and expand Canada’s universal public healthcare system. The proposed policy would guarantee every Canadian access to primary care, while integrating dental care, pharmacare, and mental health into Canada’s public healthcare system. The plan also commits to addressing the national healthcare worker shortage and reversing the trend toward privatized care.

“Federal health transfers to provinces must be spent on healthcare and meet targets for ensuring primary care health providers for every Canadian,” said Elizabeth May, Green Party Co-Leader and MP for Saanich–Gulf Islands. “Provincial accountability for federal financial transfers is KEY to reversing declining levels of access for Canadians to public, universal and excellent healthcare.”

Green Party Healthcare Plan Highlights:

  • Introduce a new Primary Care Health Act to guarantee every Canadian access to a family doctor, nurse practitioner, or community health team.
  • Fully integrate mental health services into public healthcare as an insured benefit.
  • Implement Universal Pharmacare to cover all prescription medication
  • Expand the Canadian Dental Care Plan to all eligible Canadians.
  • Enforce and enhance the Canada Health Act to ensure all new federal health dollars go to public, not-for-profit care
  • Invest in healthcare worker training and fair compensation, including streamlined credential recognition for internationally trained professionals.

 

“Healthcare must be rooted in equity, compassion, and evidence,” said Dr. Anne-Marie Zajdlik, Green Party candidate for Guelph and a longtime HIV/AIDS physician. “As a doctor, I know that mental health is health, that access to medication can save lives, and that prevention and early intervention reduce suffering and long-term costs. This plan is not only morally right—it’s medically and economically sound.”

The Greens’ plan places a strong focus on underserved and rural areas, pledging stable funding for Indigenous-led health services, mobile health clinics, and expanded telemedicine. It also mandates culturally appropriate care for all populations.

“This is about delivering healthcare that reaches everyone—urban or rural, Indigenous or non-Indigenous, young or old,” said Jonathan Pedneault, Green Party Co-Leader. “We are committed to creating a resilient, inclusive system that reflects the best of what Canada can be.”

The Green Party contrasted its plan with the lack of ambition from other parties.

Liberals talk a good game but have stalled on delivering comprehensive pharmacare and allowed privatization to creep in. Conservatives would leave healthcare even more vulnerable to profit-driven interests. The NDP has shown support for expansion, but has yet to put forward a fully integrated and costed plan. Greens are offering true transformation—fully public, truly universal, and ready to meet today’s challenges head-on. 

Key Benefits of the Green Plan:

  • Universal access to primary care and mental health services
  • No more out-of-pocket costs for prescription medications or dental care
  • Stronger support for healthcare workers, including better pay and working conditions
  • Equitable care for rural, remote, and marginalized communities
  • Prevention-focused health policy that improves outcomes and reduces costs

 

“Canadians cherish our public healthcare system,” added Elizabeth May. “This plan reaffirms and expands on that legacy. Your health card, not your credit card, should always determine the care you receive.” The Green Party invites Canadians from all walks of life to learn more about the plan and get involved in building a healthier, more equitable future for all.

Singh: Universal healthcare isn’t complete until pharmacare is delivered

Full universal pharmacare—the kind Tommy Douglas imagined—means no one is left behind when it comes to the medication they need. Today, Jagmeet Singh announced the next step toward that vision: beginning with essential medicines.

“It’s simple,” said Singh. “If your doctor gives you a prescription, you should be able to get it—full stop. That’s what real universal health care means—and that’s what New Democrats are fighting for.”

But that vision is now under threat—from politicians at home and pressure from abroad.

Donald Trump has made it clear he wants to make more money off the backs of sick Canadians—calling our lower drug prices “unfair” and threatening to use trade deals to boost profits for American pharmaceutical giants. When access to life-saving medication can be used as leverage in a trade dispute, it’s not just economic pressure—it’s a national security risk. Canada has a responsibility to act.

With just 25 New Democrat MPs, we forced the government to take the first real steps toward universal pharmacare. Free coverage for diabetes medication and contraception is finally within reach—but that hard-won progress is now at risk.

“We made them move when no one else would,” said Singh. “But now Carney’s Liberals are ready to cave, Poilievre’s Conservatives are flat-out opposed, and Big Pharma is doing everything it can to shut this down. If we don’t keep pushing, it stops here.”

During the last round of trade negotiations, Donald Trump tried to weaken Canada’s access to affordable generic medications, all to make more money for big American pharmaceutical companies. Singh also said that expanding public pharmacare gives Canada’s healthcare system leverage to resist Donald Trump in his illegal trade war.

The NDP is committed to delivering full public pharmacare within four years—starting with essential medicines: around 100 of the most prescribed medications covering about half of all prescriptions in Canada. With more New Democrats pushing for action, we can use Canada’s collective power to lower prices, secure supply, and make sure no one is left behind.

“Universal health care is something Canadians built together,” said Singh. “But it’s not complete until it includes the medication people need. This is our chance to finish the job—and protect what makes us proud to be Canadian.”

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