The PQ still first, the CAQ slips to third at 21%, the PCQ at its all-time high at 17%

Two polls released 24 hours apart Léger, Le Journal de Québec, TVA and Pallas Data point to the same reading: the Parti Québécois holds first place without gaining ground, the Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec are fighting for second inside the margin of error, and the Conservative Party of Québec posts the highest score Léger has ever measured. Election day is set for October 5, 2026.

Three parties, seven points apart, 26 days to the vote

Three parties, seven points apart, 26 days to the vote: 56 % of decided voters now call their choice final, up from 55 % last week and 47 % in June. That leaves 41 % still flexible: 49 % of QS supporters, 45 % of CAQ supporters.

Quebec Polls: PQ Leads the Race, But Support for a Referendum Remains Limited

Quebec’s latest public opinion polls reveal an important political paradox. While the Parti Québécois (PQ) continues to lead voting intentions and is currently projected to win a majority government, a clear majority of Quebecers still oppose sovereignty if a referendum were held today.