According to Qc125, polls place the CAQ in a strong lead over the opposition parties, with 43% of voting intentions, which would allow it to elect 96 MNAs in 125 ridings. Unless there is a major turnaround in the campaign, the question for the party is how strong its majority will be. The appointment of ministers will be difficult for François Legault, with the announcement of several quality candidates.
Right now, the CAQ would virtually wipe the Parti Québécois off the map and even make gains in historically Liberal ridings in Laval, Montreal and the Outaouais, while being competitive in some ridings held by Québec Solidaire. The CAQ is expected to continue its recapture of the PQ and QLP electorate by focusing on both identity and economic issues. Its slogan, “Let’s Keep Going” (“Continuons”), speaks to the continuation of the changes made since 2018 that were slowed by the pandemic.